Tools
Pump.fun Accumulation Simulator
How much capital does a wallet group need to grow its supply share of a Pump.fun token — and at what point does the bonding curve make it mathematically impossible?
Coin: $fihtective on Pump.fun (Solana), contract DS4DQAr25XEJ8A8hcJjkpC1Zd1yqmRcyMzxMxeaLpump.
Snapshot (July 2026): market cap ~$6.7k, bonding-curve progress 50%, 17.1 SOL in the curve, displayed graduation market cap ~$31,010. Creator wallet and a second wallet hold ~10.05% each — ~20% of supply combined.
The publicly announced plan: in the coin’s Telegram group the admin announced that, together with a second wallet, they would gradually accumulate from 20% to 50% and then 80% of supply (“slowly keep adding … until we hold 50 and then 80”).
What this tool shows: going from 20% to 50% costs the two wallets ~37 SOL extra — and 80% is mathematically impossible via the bonding curve: even by buying every remaining token on the curve they reach ~60% at most, because ~39% has already been sold to other buyers and ~20.7% of supply becomes AMM-pool liquidity at graduation. On top of that, every buy pushes the price against them, and any displayed “profit” stays unrealised without external exit liquidity.
Capital required
$2,791
37.22 SOL
Avg. entry price
$9.30 / 1M tokens
Spot: $5.17 / 1M tokens · +80%
Market cap after buy
$16,421
Now: $5,169
Max. via curve
60.4%
Then token graduates · Curve left: 403.5M
Capital required by target share
Milestones
| Target | + Tokens | Capital SOL | Capital USD | Avg. entry | Market cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 50M | 3.75 SOL | $281.62 | $5.63 / 1M tokens | $6,017 |
| 30% | 100M | 8.15 SOL | $611.52 | $6.12 / 1M tokens | $7,092 |
| 40% | 200M | 19.68 SOL | $1,476 | $7.38 / 1M tokens | $10,330 |
| 50% | 300M | 37.22 SOL | $2,791 | $9.30 / 1M tokens | $16,421 |
| 60% | 400M | 67.13 SOL | $5,035 | $12.59 / 1M tokens | $30,051 |
| 70%not via curve | 500M | — | — (only via AMM/OTC) | — | — |
| 80%not via curve | 600M | — | — (only via AMM/OTC) | — | — |
Interpretation
Going from 20% to 25% costs ~$281.62, while 20% to 50% already costs ~$2,791 — the price impact is convex. Above 60.4% the curve is empty; higher shares are no longer reachable via the curve.
Risk notice
Every self-buy pushes the price against the buyer. A large holder’s displayed “profit” is unrealised — without external buyers there is no exit liquidity at that size. This tool is for analysis and education, not trading or investment advice. All values are model estimates without warranty.